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02 May 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.4%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
36.4%
Draw
36.2%
Sunderland

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Wolverhampton Wanderers

vs
0.98

Sunderland

Markets

BTTS36.8%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.527.0%
Over 3.510.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
18.4%
1-1
15.1%
0-1
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).