Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Chievo
30.2%
Draw
44.3%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Chievo
vs
1.34
Monza
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).