Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Ferrol
33.4%
Draw
41.1%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Ferrol
vs
0.99
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.581.8%
Over 1.550.4%
Over 2.524.1%
Over 3.59.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.3%
0-0
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).