Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Amorebieta
29.4%
Draw
33.0%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Amorebieta
vs
1.02
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.3%
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).