Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.0%
Palermo
25.7%
Draw
16.3%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Palermo
vs
0.82
Livorno
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).