Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Catanzaro
27.7%
Draw
15.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Catanzaro
vs
0.71
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.0%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.2%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).