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28 Sept 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.7%
Dender
32.4%
Draw
37.9%
RAAL La Louviere

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Dender

vs
1.07

RAAL La Louviere

Markets

BTTS40.3%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.559.9%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
14.5%
1-1
14.2%
0-1
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).