Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.8%
Troyes
24.0%
Draw
29.3%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Troyes
vs
1.10
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).