Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
21.8%
Draw
37.4%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.54
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.8%
0-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
0-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).