Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Inverness C
27.6%
Draw
19.3%
Arbroath
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Inverness C
vs
0.81
Arbroath
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).