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DHT: 11CSV

19 Mar 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Eupen
24.6%
Draw
61.2%
Mechelen

Expected Goals (xG)

0.70

Eupen

vs
1.71

Mechelen

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
0-4
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).