Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Luton
24.0%
Draw
42.8%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Luton
vs
1.94
West Ham
Markets
BTTS71.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.570.5%
Over 3.549.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.4%
0-2
4.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
2-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).