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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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3.9%
Falmouth Town
5.8%
Draw
90.3%
Brixham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Falmouth Town

vs
4.72

Brixham

Markets

BTTS68.6%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.0%
Over 2.593.3%
Over 3.583.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-4
6.7%
1-5
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
0-4
5.7%
0-5
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-4
4.0%
2-5
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).