Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.5%
Atalanta
26.0%
Draw
35.5%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Atalanta
vs
1.26
Juventus
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).