Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Leicester
31.3%
Draw
26.6%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Leicester
vs
1.01
Southampton
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).