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10 Aug 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.7%
Rostov
31.4%
Draw
14.9%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Rostov

vs
0.58

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS33.6%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
0-0
16.3%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
0-2
2.5%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).