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08 May 2023 · 19:45

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.6%
Le Havre
28.9%
Draw
24.5%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Le Havre

vs
0.74

Rodez

Markets

BTTS34.6%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.5%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).