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AHT: 00CSV

28 Oct 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.6%
Waasland-Beveren
28.7%
Draw
42.7%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Waasland-Beveren

vs
1.35

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS49.1%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
11.4%
0-0
9.8%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).