Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Cesena
27.7%
Draw
21.8%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Cesena
vs
0.96
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).