Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Fleetwood Town
21.0%
Draw
39.7%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.72
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS66.4%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
0-2
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).