Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.7%
Brentford
27.2%
Draw
22.0%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Brentford
vs
1.06
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
5.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).