Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Chesterfield
25.9%
Draw
39.5%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Chesterfield
vs
1.58
Stockport
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.536.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).