Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.4%
Millwall
23.3%
Draw
12.3%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Millwall
vs
0.67
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).