Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
24.2%
Draw
54.4%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Fortuna Dusseldorf
vs
1.92
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
2-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).