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16 Sept 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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76.1%
Weston-super-Mare
16.6%
Draw
7.4%
Taunton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Weston-super-Mare

vs
0.49

Taunton Town

Markets

BTTS33.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
16.6%
1-0
15.8%
3-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
4-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).