⚽ FootballData
Hull

Home

1 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

04 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
35.2%
Hull
26.6%
Draw
38.2%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Hull

vs
1.47

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).