Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
St Pauli
16.0%
Draw
7.2%
Osnabruck
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
St Pauli
vs
0.68
Osnabruck
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.9%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).