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16 Dec 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.5%
Bordeaux
22.9%
Draw
43.6%
St Etienne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Bordeaux

vs
1.55

St Etienne

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.0%
0-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).