Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Plymouth
25.1%
Draw
40.9%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Plymouth
vs
1.65
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).