Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.8%
Aris
29.7%
Draw
22.5%
OFI Crete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Aris
vs
0.88
OFI Crete
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).