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AHT: 02CSV

13 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Ingolstadt
24.1%
Draw
57.1%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Ingolstadt

vs
1.91

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.7%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.2%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).