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AHT: 11

30 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Antalyaspor
36.2%
Draw
27.3%
Fatih Karagümrük

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Antalyaspor

vs
0.98

Fatih Karagümrük

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.7%
0-0
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).