Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Vålerenga
23.9%
Draw
24.9%
Fredrikstad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Vålerenga
vs
1.10
Fredrikstad
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).