Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.5%
Lincoln
18.3%
Draw
18.2%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Lincoln
vs
1.06
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.540.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).