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04 Sept 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.1%
Sandhausen
25.1%
Draw
52.8%
Kaiserslautern

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

Sandhausen

vs
1.81

Kaiserslautern

Markets

BTTS57.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).