Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.1%
Le Havre
26.9%
Draw
50.1%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Le Havre
vs
1.33
Lyon
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).