Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.0%
Tenerife
28.9%
Draw
24.1%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Tenerife
vs
0.81
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).