Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.0%
Union Berlin
18.7%
Draw
8.4%
Waregem
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Union Berlin
vs
0.56
Waregem
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.4%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
5.6%
0-1
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
2.4%
5-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).