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26 Jul 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Dender
25.5%
Draw
42.8%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

1.36

Dender

vs
1.61

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).