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AHT: 00CSV

07 May 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.9%
Leganes
25.6%
Draw
23.5%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Leganes

vs
1.00

Levante

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).