Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Plymouth
27.2%
Draw
33.0%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Plymouth
vs
1.33
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).