Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.8%
Rochdale
13.0%
Draw
4.2%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.63
Rochdale
vs
0.48
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.4%
3-0
13.5%
1-0
11.2%
4-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
1-1
6.1%
0-0
4.9%
5-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).