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HHT: 10CSV

05 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.9%
Brescia
26.3%
Draw
55.8%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Brescia

vs
1.69

Venezia

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).