Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Karagumruk
40.1%
Draw
39.0%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Karagumruk
vs
1.00
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.577.9%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.523.4%
Over 3.58.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.1%
1-1
15.8%
0-1
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
0-3
3.1%
2-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).