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24 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Bolton
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Bolton

vs
0.96

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
6.1%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).