Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Willenhall Town
18.6%
Draw
64.3%
Farnham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Willenhall Town
vs
2.26
Farnham Town
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.4%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
1-4
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-4
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).