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AHT: 02CSV

21 Jan 2024 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.3%
Aris
34.0%
Draw
52.6%
Olympiakos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.45

Aris

vs
1.15

Olympiakos

Markets

BTTS25.5%
Over 0.578.8%
Over 1.548.3%
Over 2.521.5%
Over 3.57.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
22.4%
0-0
21.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
6.0%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-0
2.0%
0-4
1.5%
2-2
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).