Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Brescia
33.4%
Draw
36.2%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Brescia
vs
1.06
Modena
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.8%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).