Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Sunderland
31.8%
Draw
46.1%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Sunderland
vs
1.33
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-1
13.3%
0-0
13.2%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).