Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.3%
Lugo
30.7%
Draw
48.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Lugo
vs
1.17
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS33.7%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.7%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).